Elon Musk, Founder and CEO of Tesla
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Investors investing in electric car manufacturer Tesla have lost $ 18 billion so far this year, including $ 4 billion in July with the share up more than 16%.
That analysis, performed by data analytics company S3 Partners, also showed that Tesla̵
S3 Partner’s analysis shows that Tesla short is down $ 18.08 billion this year, mark-to-market losses. Forty-three percent of these losses occurred in just over five weeks of trading with $ 3.71 billion in market losses in June and $ 4.08 billion in July, the company noted.
Although the bet that a stock will fall always has the potential for major losses, Tesla’s rally in recent months has proved particularly damaging as the name remains the largest card in the US market, according to S3 Partners director Ihor Dusaniwsky.
Tesla’s stock, which increased 1.1% around 11 a.m. Friday morning, has risen more than 140% over the past three months and more than 480% over the past year.
To make matters worse for short sellers, the researcher wrote that the latest rally of the stock is probably partly due to a market phenomenon called a short squeeze.
Usually when a short seller moves to cover his position by buying back the capital, the sums are so small that it has little or no upward impact on the price of the capital. But when it happens in bulk, when lots of short sellers cover at the same time, trading can drive the stock price even higher and aggravate short losses.
This can lead to overall coverage waves and as a result higher and higher stock prices.
“The reason behind Tesla’s short squeeze is obvious and straight forward, large land losses force out some short sellers when they hit their loss threshold limits,” Dusaniwsky wrote. “If Tesla’s share price continues to evolve, we expect even shorter coverage as market losses accumulate.”
Although Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk has had less than rosy interactions with Wall Street’s analysts, even the car manufacturer’s sales page bears agreed this week that it seemed difficult to stop the stock.
Both Barclays and Morgan Stanley this week said the stock is ready for more upside despite their underweight recommendations.
“Although we still believe that the TSLA is fundamentally overvalued, we see nothing to prevent the stock from moving higher in the coming weeks,” Barclays said.
The increase in the company’s valuation has been so great that analysts and investors believe the stock is about to be added to the S&P 500 in what would be a great achievement for both Tesla and its unconventional CEO.
Reuters reported Friday morning that higher than expected vehicle deliveries of the second quarter, Wall Street is increasingly confident that the company will publish a profit in its July 22 quarterly report. It would market Tesla’s first cumulative profit in four quarters and pave the way for its addition to the broad market index.
Each share addition to the S&P 500 could mean a flood of new demand for capital as so many exchange-traded funds (at least $ 4.4 trillion in investment dollars) try to mimic the performance of the index. If S&P Dow Jones adds Tesla to the S&P 500, these funds would be forced to snap up Tesla shares to avoid errors.
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