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Susan Collins had a very bad day today

On Monday, they took a big step in making good on the promise that Sara Gideon, the speaker of the Maine State House, announced her candidacy. "Susan Collins has been in the Senate for 22 years," Gideon said in a video announcing her candidacy. "And at one point, maybe she was different from some of the others in Washington, but she didn't seem that much anymore."

In the video, Gideon Collins meets to vote for President Donald Trump's tax cuts and for Kavanaugh, and even presents pictures of the President thanking Collins. So you know where Gideon is heading in this campaign: Collins likes to say she's moderate but when she is in Washington she votes like a trump conservative.

That argument ̵

1; minus the "Trump" part – has been tried before Collins. In 2002 and 2008, the Democrats ran serious, well-funded candidates against her. And Collins attacked as less moderate – and less in line with Maine's values ​​- than she tried to paint herself. Collins won 58 percent of the vote in 2002 and 61 percent in 2008. In 2014, the Democrats hardly challenged her and she was elected 67 percent.

Collins is a competent campaigner – and she will get as much money as she needs from Republicans in Washington. (The Gideon video features Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell does.)

It is said that there is reason to believe that the 2020 contest – now that Gideon is in – will be Collins hardest since she won the open space for Retired William Cohen 1996. Here's why:

1) Trump's presence in the White House has radicalized voters in partisan camps and leaves very few of the centrists Collins have always invoked. And if people vote purely on partisanship, Collins loses in Maine; Hillary Clinton carried the state 48% to 45% over Trump in 2016.

2) Collins Kavanaugh's vote is just the kind of thing that Democrats have been waiting for years for. In previous campaigns, democratic strategists always fought to prove – without any reasonable doubt – that Collins was more suited to national republicans than she released. But they could never find the singular vote – until Collins voted to confirm Kavanaugh.

3) The National Democrats – and the party base – are already fired to beat Collins. In the wake of the Kavanaugh vote, more than $ 4 million was donated to benefit any democratic candidate against Collins. Of the 22 Republican Senate sitting up to 2020, the party's base cares more about Maine than anyone else.

The point : Collins is a survivor – as evidenced by her long list of witnesses witnessing highly diluted democratic candidates. But there is reason to believe that 2020 is a challenge Collins has never seen before – and it can be too much, even for her.

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