Around 8.8 million tons of plastic accumulate in the ocean each year, but only about 270,000 tons are believed to be floating on the ocean's surface.
For years, most scientists have thought that the "missing" plastic quickly degrades after entering the ocean, breaking apart into microplastics – tiny fragments less than 5 millimeters long. Those tiny pieces then fall to the bottom of the sea, many researchers figured.
But this theory is inconsistent with observations made by researchers at The Ocean Cleanup, a nonprofit that aims to rid the oceans of plastic. The organization was founded in 201
Read more: The massive plastic-cleaning device invented by a 25-year-old may finally be catching trash in the Great Pacific Garbage Patch. Take a look at its difficult journey.
On Thursday, The Ocean Cleanup released a study that offers an alternative explanation for why certain plastic items sit on the surface of the water, while others go missing. Rather than quickly dissolving into microplastics, the team found, plastic objects are repeatedly pushed back toward land or disappear below the surface of the water.
"It's quite a contrarian view," Slat told Business Insider. "I think we've been able to answer, or at least allude to, the biggest knowledge gap in the area of plastic pollution."
'We don't really find any plastic bags or straws'
Over the last For several years, Ocean Cleanup researchers have noticed that a specific type of plastic accumulates in the garbage patch.
"A lot of it is really weathered and broken down, and some of it looks really old," Laurent Lebreton, the study's lead author, told Business Insider. "We don't really find any plastic bags or straws, but we do find really thick, hard plastic fragments."
The majority of the items they retrieved from the garbage patch in 2015, the researchers found, were from the 2000s. Some were much older.
This suggested that plastic objects were not disintegrating very quickly.
"It's really quite shocking to see pieces of plastic still floating out there that are from the 1970s," Slat said. "Just a few weeks ago, we recovered a crate that's literally from 1970 from Japan."
The researchers concluded that instead of breaking down, plastic objects embark on a long journey, sometimes traveling for decades, before accumulating in large offshore patches.
Plastic's journey through the ocean
A small share of plastic in the ocean comes from illegal dumping, spills at sea, or production facilities that release plastic debris into nearby waterways. But most of it comes from litter on land.
Plastic waste that enters the ocean sometimes accumulates along coastlines where no humans are around to scoop up trash. An example of this, Lebreton said, is Australia's Cocos Islands – a remote area with few residents that has the highest density of plastic debris reported anywhere on Earth (around 260 tons). On those shores, large amount of plastic gets swept away by the tide, then carried back to the same location.
This cycle ends with the plastic degrading or making its way offshore.
Less than 1% of the plastic that enters the ocean from the shore actually makes its way to a gyre like the Great Pacific Garbage Patch, the researchers found.
As a plastic object travels through the ocean, organisms like algae or barnacles attach to it and begin to weigh it down – a process known as "fouling." The object then sinks below the water's surface, toward deeper parts of the ocean.
Algae and barnacles require sunlight to survive, however, and that becomes scarce as they sink deeper with their plastic home. Eventually, the organisms may die and fall off the plastic object, which allows it to rise back to the surface of the water.
Lebreton said thick pieces of plastic often resist the weight of organisms, while thin pieces tend to lose their buoyancy. That explains why there aren't many flimsy straws or plastic bags in the garbage patch, he said. The researchers found that thin plastic pieces can spring back to the surface in deep water, but in shallower water, they're more likely to land on the bottom of the ocean and stay there.
Cleaning up the Great Pacific Garbage Patch
Eventually, the plastic that winds up swirling in offshore vortices does degrade, but it can take a while. The researchers found that most plastic objects that are currently disintegrating into microplastics were produced in the 1990s or earlier. When a plastic object degrades, the resulting microplastics tend to rain down ash toward the bottom of the ocean.
Lebreton said the trash in the Great Pacific Garbage Patch could take several decades, if not centuries, to disintegrate without any intervention.
"If you stopped putting plastic into the ocean or just in the natural environment in general, you would still have to deal with the legacy of plastic waste," he said. "In that sense, we can really say the worst is yet to come. "
Slat said the new study "confirms the strategy" of The Ocean Cleanup, since solving the plastic pollution problem requires both prevention (such as recycling efforts on land) and cleaning up the plastic that's already in the water.
Slat's solution is a floating, U-shaped array that captures plastic in its fold like a giant arm. The device moves slower than the ocean's current thanks to an underwater parachute that serves as an anchor. As natural winds and waves push plastic toward the center of the U-shaped system, the debris is captured by a screen that extends beneath the ocean's surface. The collected trash can then be towed to shore on a vessel.
If successful, The Ocean Cleanup project says, its device could cut the size of the garbage patch in half over five years.
"To me, it's not really a question of whether it's going to work; it's when it's going to work," Slat said. "I don't think we have a choice, considering the scale of the problem."