Democratic 2020 Presidential Candidate and Former Vice President Joe Biden greets supporters after his speech at CUNY's Graduate Center in New York on July 11, 2019.
Carlo Allegri | Reuters
Joe Biden leads the democratic president's primary race in 2020, according to the first NBC News / Wall Street Journal competition contest.
The former Vice President supports 26% of voters nationally who are planning to vote in 2020 Democratic nomination competitions, the survey was released Thursday found. Late Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., Runs him at 1
Sens. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., And Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., Get 13% Of Pollen Support. South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg rounded out the top five contenders at 7%. Former Rep. Beto O & R; Rourke and entrepreneur Andrew Yang both garner 2% of the aid, and no other candidate in the range of about two dozen draws more than 1%.
The survey is largely consistent with what the latest surveys have found about challenging the contest to challenge President Donald Trump next year. While Biden jumped out to a more extensive lead in early polls, surveys suggest a tighter competition after the first democratic debate last month introduced more voters to the field.
Much can change before democratic voters begin to choose their nominees. The first in-nation Iowa caucus sits about seven months away.
Only 12% of respondents in the NBC / WSJ survey say they definitely decided who they will support next year. Asked about their second election for president, 14% of respondents chose Harris. She was followed by Warren at 13% and Sanders at 12%. Meanwhile, 10% of the respondents chose Biden as their second choice and 8% chose Buttigieg.
Harris and Warren received strong ratings after the first debate
The survey was taken after the first democratic debate in Miami that seemed to reflect well on Harris and Warren. Almost half – 47% – of democratic primary voters who watched at least some of the debates or notice the news coverage of them said Harris most impressed them. About one-third replied that Warren impressed them the most.
Harris, one of three black candidates in the field, created the debate's most debated moment as she addressed Bid's race record and his approach to school bus. She told a story about being bused to the school in a newly integrated California school as a child.
The former vice president conveniently leads the field among African-American democratic primary voters, according to the NBC / WSJ vote. He provides 46% of the support, trailed distantly by Harris at 17%. Among the non-white primary voters, Biden deducts 33% of the support, followed by Harris at 16%, Sanders at 15% and Warren at 14%.
Biden leads among the primary voters who consider themselves moderate or conservative. Warren has an edge over Sanders among liberal respondents.
Do voters want big or small changes?
A core issue that defines the democratic primary is whether voters want thorough revision or incremental change. For example, Sanders and Warren have encountered a single payer "Medicare for All" system and massive student debt forgiveness. Biden and others have warned against Medicare for all or widespread debt suspension, calling the plans too expensive.
More than half or 54% of democratic primary voters said they want a candidate who "suggests a larger scale that costs more and can be harder to go into law but can bring about major changes" on issues such as health health care, climate change, the university's affordable prices and economic opportunities. Meanwhile, 41% responded that they prefer a candidate who "suggests less-scale policies that cost less and can be easier to switch to law but will bring about less change" on these issues.
Warren leads those who respond to major changes by 29% of the support, followed by Sanders at 18%. Both candidates have proposed a comprehensive overhaul of the political and economic system, and Sanders first became a candidate in 2016 by promising a "political revolution". Meanwhile, voters who want less tweaks choose overwhelmingly Biden.
Among all registered voters, 44% support a healthcare system with a payer, against 49% who oppose it.
The investigation also questioned voters as to whether they are returning candidates based more on ideology or their ability to deny Trump a second term in the White House. Among the Democrats' primary voters, 51% said they want a candidate who comes close to their views on problems. Meanwhile, 45% responded that they want a candidate with the best chance of defeating the president.
Of those who believe that Trump is most important, 34% choose Biden, followed by Warren at 21% and Harris at 16%. Among respondents who say they prefer to agree on issues, Biden and Warren are tied to 18%, while Harris gets 17% of the support.
The NBC / WSJ survey examined 800 total registered voters from July 7-9. More than half of these voters are reached by mobile phone. It has a total margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Among the 400 democratic primary voters examined, the margin of error is plus-or-minus 4.9 percentage points.
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