Home / Business / AccuWeather forecasts even lower maize and soybean yield for 2019 after latest report

AccuWeather forecasts even lower maize and soybean yield for 2019 after latest report



By John Roach AccuWeather Staff Writer
June 25, 2019, 1:35:12 EDT

  Soybeans in Ohio

Kris Swartz provides Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine's tour of his farm on June 19, 2019 in Perrysburg, Ohio. Farmers who have not been able to plant their soybeans and corn because of the spring's unchanged rain, told Wednesday's governor on Wednesday that it will take years to recover their losses. (AP Photo / John Seewer)

AccuWather's new estimates for maize and soybean yield for 2019 are even lower than previous forecasts due to continued bad weather and new data in Monday's US Department of Agriculture (USDA) Crop Progress.

AccuWeather predicts 2019 corn yield of 13.13 billion bushels, which is lower than its June 10 estimate of 13.26. The USDA estimates the maize yield in 2019 at 13.68 on June 11, but it will offer an updated forecast on Friday, June 28 for both corn and soybeans.

The USDA's first estimate of corn yield in 2019 was 15.03 billion bushels, after production was 14.41 (2018) and 14.61 (2017) billion bushels over the past two years.

For the 2019 exchange of soybeans, AccuWeather forecasts a decrease to 3.942 billion bushels, a decrease from its 10th June estimate of 3.952. The USDA's two estimates for the season to date have both been 4,150 billion bushels after production totaled 4,544 and 4,412 billion bushels respectively in 2018 and 2017.

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in the poor Crop Progress numbers. The proportion of maize considered "good" or "excellent" in 18 major maize-producing states fell from the previous week from 59% to 56%. The five-year average of the state of maize classified "good" or "excellent" is 77%.


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"The percentage goes down – and it's a bad direction," said AccuWeather senior meteorologist Jason Nicholls. "It's not so much the release, it's just the fact that it's been everywhere is surprising … The heavy rains in southern Illinois and parts of Missouri that got 3 to 5 inches contributed to the deterioration."

Missouri had only 28% of its maize classified "good" or "excellent", while Ohio had 39%, Michigan had 40% and Illinois was 47%.

Some good news for Corn Belt farmers: "This week the weather will be and become drier," Nicholls said.

Soybean planting, as AccuWeather predicted, rose in 18 major US soybean producing states, according to crop progress. The report showed that 85% of soybeans were planted on June 23 after the percentage was 77% the previous week. The five-year average for the date is 97%.

Ohio (65%), Missouri (66%) and Michigan (69%) continue to show the worst rates, while Louisiana (99%), Minnesota (98%) and North Dakota (98%) lead the way.

"The three states still in the 60s, especially Missouri, will end up losing some soybeans because of the wet weather," Nicholls said.

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